Sales of single-family homes in Massachusetts increased by nearly 20
percent last month, the strongest March showing since the recession and
an indication the housing market is slowly recovering from years of
erosion.
The 3,205 homes sold marked the third consecutive month of increases
and highest number of March sales since 2007, according to the Warren
Group, a Boston company that tracks real estate.
At the same time, the median price of a single-family home fell last
month to $260,000, compared with $268,750 in March 2011 - a 3.3 percent
drop. Still, that was an improvement from February, when the median
price sank to $245,000 - the lowest value since 2002.
Timothy
M. Warren Jr., chief executive of the Warren Group, said that even as
the number of home sales increases, he does not expect prices to start
rising until next year.
“Confidence is returning to the market, and not just the real estate
market, but the economy in general,’’ Warren said. “In the 1990s, the
last time we had a significant real estate slump in Massachusetts, home
sales volumes started to pick up for two years before median prices
stopped being negative. So it’s not unusual to see this lag in the two
indices.’’
Warren said sellers in some “hot’’ communities have received better
prices for their homes compared with last year, another indication that a
turnaround may be underway. A review of February new-home listings in
communities with healthy sales - Arlington, Brookline, Hingham,
Manchester, Middleton, Somerville, and Walpole - found 22 percent of all
sellers got their asking price this year, compared with 7 percent
during the same period in 2011.
Barry Bluestone, dean at Northeastern University’s School of Public
Policy and Urban
Affairs, said he believes the housing market has
finally reached its bottom.
The combination of low median sale prices - which he does not expect
to keep dropping - and low interest rates means that prospective buyers
who have been delaying making a decision should consider acting now, he
said.
“These may be the lowest prices you’re going to see in a long time,’’
Bluestone said. “Once you see the purchasing, you have this increase in
demand that begins to stabilize and shore up prices. I expect that when
we see the numbers for April, May and June, we will see prices rise
again.’’
Massachusetts condominium sales increased last month, too, by 11.4
percent to 1,189, compared with March 2011, the Warren Group said. Condo
sales during the first three months of 2012 increased by 8 percent
statewide compared with 2011, to 2,983. The median condo price was
$265,000, compared to a median condo price of $230,000 in March 2011.
Also on Tuesday, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices reported
that housing values fell 3.5 percent nationwide over the last year. In
the Boston area, home values fell 1.1 percent from January to February
and declined 2.4 percent over the year ended in February. Still, Boston
home values remain above their 2009 low, according to
S&P/Case-Shiller, which is widely considered the most reliable
barometer of the housing market.
http://www.bostonglobe.com/business/2012/04/24/mass-home-sales-nearly-possibly-signaling-turnaround/LuYO6HWiXbK1DG9aq3LcON/story.html
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